Nkhani

Posachedwapa, zidziwitso zachuma ku United States, kuphatikizapo ntchito ndi kukwera kwa mitengo, zatsika.Ngati inflation ikuchepa kwambiri, ikhoza kufulumizitsa njira yochepetsera chiwongoladzanja.Padakali kusiyana pakati pa zoyembekeza za msika ndi kuyamba kwa kuchepetsa chiwongoladzanja, koma kuchitika kwa zochitika zokhudzana ndi zomwe zingalimbikitse kusintha kwa ndondomeko ndi Federal Reserve.
Kusanthula mtengo wa golidi ndi mkuwa
Pamlingo waukulu, Wapampando wa Federal Reserve Powell ananena kuti chiwongola dzanja cha Fed "chafika pachiwopsezo," ndipo mitengo ya golidi padziko lonse lapansi ikuyandikiranso kukwera kwambiri.Amalonda adakhulupirira kuti zolankhula za Powell zinali zofatsa, ndipo kubetcha kwa chiwongola dzanja mu 2024 sikunaponderezedwe.Zokolola zama bond za US Treasury Bond ndi dollar yaku US zidatsikanso, zomwe zidakweza mitengo yapadziko lonse lapansi yagolide ndi siliva.Kutsika kwa mitengo yamtengo wapatali kwa miyezi ingapo kwapangitsa osunga ndalama kuganiza kuti Federal Reserve idzachepetsa chiwongola dzanja mu Meyi 2024 kapena m'mbuyomu.
Kumayambiriro kwa Disembala 2023, a Shenyin Wanguo Futures adalengeza kuti zolankhula za akuluakulu a Federal Reserve zidalephera kuletsa zoyembekeza za msika, ndipo msika udachita kubetcherana potsika mtengo kuyambira Marichi 2024, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti mitengo ya golide yapadziko lonse ifike pamtengo watsopano.Koma poganizira kukhala ndi chiyembekezo chochulukirapo pakutsika kwamitengo, panali kusintha kotsatira ndi kutsika.Poyerekeza ndi kufooka kwachuma ku United States komanso kuchepa kwa ndalama za bond ya dollar yaku US, msika wadzutsa ziyembekezo zoti Federal Reserve yamaliza kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja ndipo ikhoza kutsitsa chiwongola dzanja pasadakhale, ndikupangitsa mitengo ya golidi ndi siliva yapadziko lonse lapansi kuti ipitirire. limbitsani.Pamene chiwongola dzanja chikutha, kuchuluka kwachuma ku US kumachepa pang'onopang'ono, mikangano yapadziko lonse lapansi imachitika pafupipafupi, ndipo kukwera kwamitengo yazitsulo zamtengo wapatali kumakwera.
Zikuyembekezeka kuti mtengo wa golidi wapadziko lonse lapansi udzaphwanya mbiri yakale mu 2024, motsogozedwa ndi kufowoka kwa index ya dollar yaku US komanso ziyembekezo za kuchepetsedwa kwa chiwongola dzanja ndi Federal Reserve, komanso zinthu za geopolitical.Zikuyembekezeka kuti mtengo wa golide wapadziko lonse lapansi ukhalabe wopitilira $2000 pa ounce, malinga ndi akatswiri aukadaulo ku ING.
Ngakhale kuchepa kwa ndalama zolipirira zinthu zambiri, kupanga mkuwa wapanyumba kukukulirakulirabe.Kufunika kotsika kwamadzi ku China ndikokhazikika komanso kukuyenda bwino, ndikuyika kwa photovoltaic kumayendetsa kukula kwachuma kwamagetsi, kugulitsa bwino kwa zoziziritsa mpweya komanso kukula kwakupanga.Kuwonjezeka kwa kuchuluka kwa mphamvu zatsopano kukuyembekezeka kuphatikizira kufunikira kwa mkuwa mumakampani opanga zida zoyendera.Msika ukuyembekeza kuti nthawi yochepetsera chiwongola dzanja cha Federal Reserve mu 2024 ikhoza kuchedwa ndipo zosungira zitha kukwera mwachangu, zomwe zingayambitse kufooka kwakanthawi kochepa pamitengo yamkuwa komanso kusinthasintha kwamitundu yonse.Goldman Sachs adanena mu 2024 zitsulo zomwe zikuwonetsa kuti mitengo yamkuwa yapadziko lonse lapansi ikuyembekezeka kupitilira $10000 pa tani.

Zifukwa Zamitengo Yambiri Yakale
Kumayambiriro kwa Disembala 2023, mitengo ya golidi padziko lonse lapansi yakwera ndi 12%, pomwe mitengo yapakhomo yakwera ndi 16%, kupitilira zomwe amapeza pafupifupi magulu onse akuluakulu anyumba.Kuonjezera apo, chifukwa cha malonda opambana a njira zatsopano za golidi, zinthu zatsopano za golidi zimakondedwa kwambiri ndi ogula apakhomo, makamaka mbadwo watsopano wa atsikana okongola okonda atsikana.Ndiye nchifukwa chiyani golidi wakale watsukidwanso ndikudzaza nyonga?
Chimodzi ndi chakuti golide ndi chuma chamuyaya.Ndalama za mayiko osiyanasiyana padziko lonse lapansi ndi chuma chandalama m'mbiri ndizosawerengeka, ndipo kukwera ndi kugwa kwawo kumakhalanso kochepa.M’mbiri yakale ya chisinthiko cha ndalama, zipolopolo, silika, golidi, siliva, mkuwa, chitsulo, ndi zipangizo zina zonse zakhala zikugwiritsidwa ntchito monga ndalama.Mafunde amatsuka mchenga, kungowona golide weniweni.Golide yekha ndi amene watsutsa ubatizo wa nthawi, mibadwo, fuko, ndi chikhalidwe, kukhala "chuma chandalama" chodziwika padziko lonse lapansi.Golide wa pre Qin China ndi Greece wakale ndi Roma akadali golide mpaka lero.
Chachiwiri ndikukulitsa msika wogwiritsa ntchito golide ndi matekinoloje atsopano.M'mbuyomu, kupanga zinthu za golidi kunali kosavuta, ndipo kuvomereza kwa atsikana kunali kochepa.M'zaka zaposachedwapa, chifukwa cha kupita patsogolo kwa umisiri processing, 3D ndi 5D golide, 5G golide, golide wakale, golide wolimba, enamel golide, inlay golide, golide wonyezimira ndi zinthu zina zatsopano ndi zonyezimira, onse yapamwamba ndi katundu, kutsogolera mafashoni dziko. China-Chic, ndipo amakondedwa kwambiri ndi anthu.
Chachitatu ndi kulima diamondi kuti zithandize kugwiritsa ntchito golide.M'zaka zaposachedwa, ma diamondi omwe amalimidwa mwachisawawa apindula ndi kupita patsogolo kwaukadaulo ndipo apita patsogolo mwachangu kumalonda, zomwe zidapangitsa kutsika kwamitengo yogulitsa ndikuwononga kwambiri dongosolo lamtengo wa diamondi zachilengedwe.Ngakhale kuti mpikisano pakati pa diamondi yokumba ndi diamondi zachilengedwe akadali ovuta kusiyanitsa, izo moona kumapangitsa ogula ambiri kusagula diamondi yokumba kapena diamondi zachilengedwe, koma m'malo kugula golide zatsopano zaluso.
Chachinayi ndikuchulukirachulukira kwa ndalama zapadziko lonse, kukulitsa ngongole, kuwonetsa kusungika kwamtengo ndi kuyamikira kwa golide.Zotsatira zakuchulukirachulukira kwandalama ndizokwera kwambiri komanso kuchepa kwakukulu kwa mphamvu yogulira ndalama.Kafukufuku wopangidwa ndi katswiri wakunja Francisco Garcia Parames akuwonetsa kuti m'zaka zapitazi za 90, mphamvu yogula ya dola ya US yakhala ikutsika mosalekeza, ndi masenti 4 okha omwe atsala kuchokera ku 1 US dollar ku 1913 mpaka 2003, kuchepa kwapachaka kwa 3.64%.Mosiyana ndi zimenezi, mphamvu yogulira golide ndiyokhazikika ndipo yasonyeza kuti ikukwera m’zaka zaposachedwapa.M’zaka 30 zapitazi, kukwera kwa mitengo ya golidi mu madola a ku United States kumayenderana kwambiri ndi kuthamanga kwa ndalama zochulukirachulukira m’mayiko otukuka, kutanthauza kuti golide waposa kuchulukitsitsa kwa ndalama za US.
Chachisanu, mabanki apakati padziko lonse akuwonjezera nkhokwe zawo zagolide.Kuwonjezeka kapena kuchepa kwa nkhokwe za golide ndi mabanki apakati padziko lonse lapansi kumakhudza kwambiri ubale wopezeka ndi kufunikira pamsika wa golide.Pambuyo pavuto lazachuma la 2008, mabanki apakati padziko lonse lapansi akhala akuchulukitsa golide wawo.Pofika kotala lachitatu la 2023, mabanki apakati padziko lonse lapansi afika pachiwopsezo chambiri pakusunga kwawo golide.Komabe, gawo la golide m'malo osungiramo ndalama zakunja ku China likadali lotsika.Mabanki ena apakati omwe akuchulukirachulukira m'mabanki akuphatikiza Singapore, Poland, India, Middle East, ndi madera ena.